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REOs - shadow inventory?

 
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StallionMang



Joined: 29 Apr 2008
Posts: 54

PostPosted: Fri Mar 06, 2009 4:02 am GMT    Post subject: REOs - shadow inventory? Reply with quote

There's a story ("Banks to unleash flood of REOs") that banks are holding back foreclosed properties to (1) not have to realize losses and (2) get that sweet TARP money. Some people claim 75% of REOs have not hit the MLS.

I emailed a friend who is a REO attorney here. Their response:
---------
That may be true some places, but I don't think it really applies here. We usually get referrals almost immediately after the foreclosure sale and the properties are listed fast.

The big holdup is when there's an eviction, they don't list the property until it's empty.

There *is* about to be a big increase in REO inventory around here, but that's because so many foreclosures were put on hold during the holidays and now they are going to sale.
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JCK



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 559

PostPosted: Fri Mar 06, 2009 2:09 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think this "shadow inventory" idea is somewhat of an urban legend. I agree with your REO atty friend. From my quick look into this issue, I don't think there's a secret foreclosure inventory that's being hidden from the market.

You can search foreclosure deeds at the registry yourself. It's all publicly available on the web.

If you don't want to deal with the registry, other websites, like Trulia, link to properties undergoing foreclosure.
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Guest






PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2009 3:17 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

i believe there is a shadow inventory

they simply dont bother to kick people out anymore

hoping Barack OBambi will rescue them .

i check the nortern middlesex register of deeds site daily

and tons of people receive an order of notice

then never get foreclosed upon

and im not even counting the people who simply
dont pay and never even get the order of notice
which is the first step to foreclosure

there are far more people living for free than
you can imagine Exclamation
.
.
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GenXer



Joined: 20 Feb 2009
Posts: 703

PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:04 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Guest: If this is so, where are the banks? Something does not add up here. Are there links to this story (and it would be a story all right if it turns out to be true)?
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JCK



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 559

PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2009 2:25 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Anonymous wrote:
i believe there is a shadow inventory

they simply dont bother to kick people out anymore

hoping Barack OBambi will rescue them .

i check the nortern middlesex register of deeds site daily

and tons of people receive an order of notice

then never get foreclosed upon

and im not even counting the people who simply
dont pay and never even get the order of notice
which is the first step to foreclosure

there are far more people living for free than
you can imagine Exclamation
.
.


Fine, but it's not inventory that's going to hit the market any time soon.

So it's not really "shadow inventory."
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melonrightcoast



Joined: 22 Feb 2009
Posts: 236
Location: metrowest

PostPosted: Sun Mar 08, 2009 1:30 am GMT    Post subject: shadow inventory Reply with quote

I don't know about the shadow inventory either. There are enough speculators flipping properties at inflated prices. Still! There was a REO home in very bad condition that was listed in the mid-200s. We were looking at it for a tear-down. The "agent" listing the property said that they had 7 bids on the property. It closed this past week for almost $10K over asking. THE SAME DAY the house closed, the buyer had the gall to list it for $235K over the selling price saying how nice it will be when they finish fixing it up. I really can't help but hope that they lose their shirt.
_________________
melonrightcoast ... are you?
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Mark
Guest





PostPosted: Sun Mar 08, 2009 4:32 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

GenXer wrote:
Guest: If this is so, where are the banks? Something does not add up here. Are there links to this story (and it would be a story all right if it turns out to be true)?


Now, I don't know if this is true, but here is the explanation I've heard: Banks are avoiding forclosing or foreclosing and holding onto the property because if the bank resell the property it will have to take the write down on its books and too many writedowns could result in undacapitalized banks, etc. etc.
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StallionMang



Joined: 29 Apr 2008
Posts: 54

PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 1:28 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

^^ Yes, selling would be in effect marking to market.

This American Life did a good episode on what's happening with banks and their balance sheets:

http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Episode.aspx?episode=375

Act One. The Collapse of the US Banking System Explained in Just 39 Minutes.

Alex Blumberg and Adam Davidson tackle a very tough subject: trying to explain exactly what a bank is and does. They talk to a number of experts about what has gone wrong in banking, but not before bringing us all up to speed on some banking basics, like understanding a bank balance sheet, and a bank’s assets and liabilities, and the squishy business of what banks say about their balance sheets compared to what they are.

Alex and Adam walk us step by step through the complications of the US government buying up bad assets from banks, and explain why, when it comes to footing the bill, the government might just prefer to not be in charge of the very banks it is having taxpayers bailout. From a dollhouse, to a hypothetical bank worth tens of dollars, to the trillions of dollars being spent to keep banks afloat, Alex and Adam talk economy, and where we might be headed. (39 minutes)
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