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Thinking of potentially buying my rental -- advice?

 
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theMaskedRenter
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PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 2:18 pm GMT    Post subject: Thinking of potentially buying my rental -- advice? Reply with quote

Hello all,

I am a renter (always have been) -- currently in a 3 BR that was new but that the landlord could not sell at his desired price point so rented instead. Now my landlord won't renew the lease because he wants to put the property back on the market (this is 2 x 3BR house which would go as 2 condos).

I have been thinking about making an offer. The way I see it, this cuts out the agent fee, + saves the period during which the property is empty, a benefit to the landlord that might reduce the overall price for me. Also, I know most of what there is to know about this place.

On the other hand, I recognize that my own area of expertise is very far from real estate. I was thinking of hiring someone to do an assessment of what this place would fetch on the market based on comparables, current condition (like everyone else in Mass, we had some flooding this Spring), local trends. I figure that for a true expert with local knowledge, this is something that would take a day of work at most.

Is this something that I can have a realtor do? What would it cost -- $1000? Any other insights the group would be willing to share?

Thanks!
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GenXer



Joined: 20 Feb 2009
Posts: 703

PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 5:23 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

You'd have to hire an inspector anyway, and of course, like previously discussed, it may help to hire a real estate lawyer to go over the paperwork. But then again, the owner may have his own idea about how much he wants to sell for, regardless of whether it is 'worth' this. You can easily look up the 'zestimate', and wthin +/- 20% of that, would you be able to afford this? Will your cost jump up compared to rental cost? The flooding damage - how much will it cost to repair, etc It may be worth it to find something else to rent. Rents are crashing down, and unless you have a family with certain requirements (and you can't find a unit that fits them) it doesn't make sense to buy something you wouldn't need in the future.
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JCK



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 559

PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 8:02 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

"Rents are crashing down"?

I'm not seeing that.
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GenXer



Joined: 20 Feb 2009
Posts: 703

PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 10:51 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm seeing it allright. I guess you are not looking in the right places. I'm calling a 12% decrease in a 2b/2b condo rents in Newton a pretty big decrease. I'm seeing so many vacancies I've never seen before. I look at rents almost daily, and yes, there are some high rents, and luxury may yet be too high, but the middle of the road rentals are getting squeezed. Again, I'm talking mainly Newton, Watertown and Waltham. You can now get a 2b/2b in Newton for $1600. Not bad, considering that it went for $1800 only 6 months ago. And that's not the end yet.
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CC
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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 5:18 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am not sure about "rents are crashing down", but my rent has not been raised for 3 or 4 years. However, I still think rents in greater Boston are pretty expensive, especially most rental units are so old and bad maintained....
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JCK



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 559

PostPosted: Thu May 20, 2010 1:02 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

GenXer wrote:
And that's not the end yet.


Who's the person always cautioning others about making predictions?


I thought everything moved as a random walk, with no way to predict future price movements.

Very Happy
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GenXer



Joined: 20 Feb 2009
Posts: 703

PostPosted: Thu May 20, 2010 1:35 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

JCK wrote:
GenXer wrote:
And that's not the end yet.


Who's the person always cautioning others about making predictions?


I thought everything moved as a random walk, with no way to predict future price movements.

Very Happy


Sigh...that was a mischaracterization of what I'm saying. As usual. But I'm the broken record here, so I'll say it again:

1) Future movements can't be predicted NOT because we are assuming a particular model (i.e. random walk) but prcisely because we DON'T know what the model is. Random walk, by the way, would have been nice - we could make nice statistical predictions had we known we have random walk, and nothing else.

2) I predict for fun. I'm betting on prices to fall. I will profit from it someday. In the meanwhile, if prices rise, I can care less. I will not lose money. Thus, its a 'hedged' prediction, which is exactly what everybody should be doing.
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theMaskedRenter
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PostPosted: Thu May 20, 2010 6:23 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thank you to those who provided input.

To answer some comments. Yes I can afford to buy. Rents right now seem to be about flat to me (at least for the stuff I am looking at)

The pros of buying is that save myself and my family a move and stay in a place where we are satisfied and know very well.

The cons is the loss of flexibility/risk from being so deeply levered and invested. I may want/need to move in a year or three -- job situation not that predictable. For that a +/- 20% estimate won't do. I need a better view of the market value of the place that I am renting, and was wondering if I should hire a realtor by the hour to do this analysis. Then I can make an offer to my landlord and just move out if he wants more.

And indeed, this is in one of the so-called "immune towns"
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Guest






PostPosted: Thu May 20, 2010 8:36 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Let me get this straight. Your major motivation for buying the place that you currently move is to avoid the hassle of moving. Yet, you might be moving in 1-3 years anyway that will likely result losing a lot of money, and be pain in the rear to unload. This makes absolutely no sense.

Buy if:
1. it's a true stealer, below current market value
2. you have 20% down, 8-10 month in emergency savings on top of it
3. planning to live there for at least 10 years.

If you answer "no" to any of the questions, do not buy. It makes no financial sense.

Moving is not a hassle, and it does not have to be costly. Coming from someone who moved 3 times in 3 years with a family and got very good at it. Perfect opportunity to get rid of all your junk.

Good luck.
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JCK



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 559

PostPosted: Thu May 20, 2010 9:34 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah, don't buy (in any market) if your time frame is 1-3 years for moving.

I don't think you need to plan to stay somewhere for 10 years to buy, but the conventional wisdom is 5 years, which is probably reasonable.

The transaction costs for purchasing are very high, so you need several years in a place to avoid losing money (and to amortize those costs), even in a rising market. It will make paying movers look like a bargain...

Two-unit condo associations also come with special headaches; I personally would not want to buy into one. You will have to agree with the other owner on every improvement, and if your neighbor decides not to pay their condo fees, you're basically going to have sue your neighbor to compel their payment. God forbid they be an absentee landlord who rents to lousy tenants and wants to pay as little as possible to improve the property.

Your stress level will therefore depend entirely on how reasonable your neighbor is.

Why exactly do you want to buy? Just to avoid hiring movers?
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JCK



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 559

PostPosted: Thu May 20, 2010 9:40 pm GMT    Post subject: Re: Thinking of potentially buying my rental -- advice? Reply with quote

theMaskedRenter wrote:
Now my landlord won't renew the lease because he wants to put the property back on the market (this is 2 x 3BR house which would go as 2 condos).


You also need to find out if your landlord has an agreement with a realtor already. If he does, the realtor may collect commission anyway, even if you bring the offer directly to the landlord.
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mpr



Joined: 06 Jun 2009
Posts: 344

PostPosted: Fri May 21, 2010 4:38 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

theMaskedRenter wrote:
For that a +/- 20% estimate won't do. I need a better view of the market value of the place that I am renting, and was wondering if I should hire a realtor by the hour to do this analysis. Then I can make an offer to my landlord and just move out if he wants more.


I would never trust something like this to a realtor, even a good one.
If you dont have a thorough understanding of prices for the particular
kind of property you're going to buy its too risky to do it.

Of course you can go out, look at comps yourself and then make a judgment.

Also be aware that if you make your landlord an offer before the place
even goes on the market, for him this is like getting an offer on the
first day the place its listed. You're asking him to sell for the price you're
offering without having really tested the market; its an opportunity cost
for him. So you're unlikely to get a great deal this way. The 5% saved
in commission might be enough to bridge the gap, but that isn't obvious.

On the flip side, only thinking about buying your current place seems
like a huge opportunity cost for you if you haven't even looked at other
places. Yes, moving is a pain, but this is a big financial decision.
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