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Rising FHA default rate

 
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Renting in Mass



Joined: 26 Jun 2008
Posts: 381
Location: In a house I bought in December 2011

PostPosted: Tue Feb 02, 2010 5:21 pm GMT    Post subject: Rising FHA default rate Reply with quote

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/01/AR2010020103527.html

Quote:

The share of borrowers who are falling seriously behind on loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration jumped by more than a third in the past year, foreshadowing a crush of foreclosures that could further buffet an agency vital to the housing market's recovery.


Quote:
As these loans from 2007 and 2008 go bad and clear off of the FHA's books, agency officials said, losses are expected to taper off, aided by the housing market's anticipated recovery


And what's the plan if the market doesn't recover?

Quote:

For now, just about every major measure of the agency's financial health is worsening.


Good. Hopefully the day when I'm competing only with people who can make a down payment is approaching.
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john p



Joined: 10 Mar 2006
Posts: 1820

PostPosted: Tue Feb 02, 2010 6:20 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

This kind of makes sense. We started to hemmorage jobs at the end of 2008. At this time people had emergency funds and with unemployment they most likely had four of five months of float. Because the unemployment is still above 10%, many of these people have extended beyond what their emergency fund afforded so here we are.

What does this mean going forward? If all these homes go on the market and people are upside down significantly; banks will be in worse shape. I predict they extend the $8k first time buyer's grant and make it easier to refinance because they'll continue to keep buying the subprime securitized assets and most likely, China will continue to keep buying our treasuries keeping rates lower. Even with all of that, the weight of this surcharge is likely to drive the market down further. I can't think of anything in the short term that would cause an increase in prices other than pent up demand, but I think we absorbed a great deal of that in the past year with the $8k deal.
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balor123



Joined: 08 Mar 2008
Posts: 1204

PostPosted: Thu Feb 04, 2010 5:15 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Check out the latest CS numbers!

If we're going to support the housing market, then I wish we didn't also have to make mortgage brokers, real estate agents, and bankers fabulously wealthy in the process.
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