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End of schools/colleges for the middle class?
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Boston ITer
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 14, 2009 2:10 pm GMT    Post subject: End of schools/colleges for the middle class? Reply with quote

I'm aiming this line of reasoning to other Boston area residents, basically those who're in the culture of higher education equals both intrinsic value to society and a good paying job. At the moment, we're seeing a real loss of interest in the toughest university disciplines, the applied sciences and engineering, and towards essentially, anything *else* which isn't offshore-able. This is typically some health care related discipline, basically another semi-independent professional education program or perhaps trucking and/or running oil drilling equipment.

At the same time, we also have this phenomena of college tuition matching the increases in health insurance premiums, year after year. Where does it stop? At what point do individuals and families basically make the statement, "no more", it's either ivy league undergrad (for the Goldman Sachs/McKinsey recruiters only, since they're global elitist and recruit from their kind) or some part-time online training to satisfy the HR requirement to have some college certificate to be seen in an office or some health care certification to be seen at a hospital. When will this seismic shift occur?
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Crispo
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 14, 2009 2:21 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Boston ITer,

Always enjoy your posts. I work in higher ed in Mass. - the individual consumer of higher ed is not in the driver's seat. You either get the credential or become a loser (a few entrepreneurial types to the contrary.)

The answer is the power of the educational institutional elites. They are calling the shots. Until they adopt new models and delivery systems, not much is going to change. As a faculty member, I can affect my own class, but most administrators are not capable or motivated to make the change. It's got to come from the political elites - if politicians don't make the changes, no one will.
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Boston ITer
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 14, 2009 3:05 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
You either get the credential or become a loser (a few entrepreneurial types to the contrary


I think it's more complacency and people not doing their homework on the matter as well as being seen, as different from the mainstream. See the following...

http://www.straighterline.com (for low cost prereqs)

http://www.londonexternal.ac.uk/prospective_students/undergraduate/index.php (which is Britain's Wharton-like program and costs < $6K)

and there are others and will be more, down the road.

For the most part, the educational elites, meaning really Harvard, Wharton, and Stanford, is the only reason for places like Milton Academy, Exeter, Horace Mann, etc. Historically speaking, only rich kids had attended these private h.s. just so they can get a near 80%+ shot of attending an ivy college. Today, these h.s. academies can't guarantee that because the ivies have a dragnet over, not only the US private and public h.s.'s but also, all the high schools from around the world esp those in Europe i.e. Switzerland or Eaton in Britain. What this does, is that it crowds out the middle class. On the average, a typical middle classer will make a simple decision, is it Univ of Illinois or Yale? Before, back in the 80s, it was a series of choices (Wash Univ, Brandeis, BU) but today, most of those choices all costs the same and yet, no one can make a valid argument for one over the other, besides the color/model of one's car.

What I see happening, more and more, is that someone w/ a 4 yr college degree ends up going back to school for a two year certification in some med tech field, and then he changes into that field. The college degree, at that point in time, become a type of HR litmus test that this person is *ok* to be seen around a desk as opposed to anything else. A litmus test shouldn't set a family back over a $100K.
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 14, 2009 3:37 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I think it's more complacency and people not doing their homework on the matter as well as being seen, as different from the mainstream. See the following...

http://www.straighterline.com (for low cost prereqs)

http://www.londonexternal.ac.uk/prospective_students/undergraduate/index.php (which is Britain's Wharton-like program and costs < $6K)

and there are others and will be more, down the road.


All these attempts will make minor inroads until the power of higher ed incorporates these attempts into their own model. For example, the accreditation bodies are cracking down hard on any online startups partnering with accredited universities. By threatening any innovative traditional university with sanctions, the vested interests prevent much progress in using technology to transform education and make it cheaper.

Quote:
What I see happening, more and more, is that someone w/ a 4 yr college degree ends up going back to school for a two year certification in some med tech field, and then he changes into that field. The college degree, at that point in time, become a type of HR litmus test that this person is *ok* to be seen around a desk as opposed to anything else. A litmus test shouldn't set a family back over a $100K.


Yes, there will be more lifelong learning, but mostly it'll be additional layers of expensive overhead for universities. Which traditional university is going to reform itself into a low cost option? Answer: it's not going to happen until the rule of the game are changed for all.
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melonrightcoast



Joined: 22 Feb 2009
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 14, 2009 4:02 pm GMT    Post subject: rethinking college expenses Reply with quote

My two cents is that people are going to start rethinking college costs for their children. Personally, I'd only pay top dollar for a private university if it were an elite school that will put a person toward the top of the resume pile. I'm speaking from my own experience as I have a degree from a random state school and my husband has a degree from MIT.

If the elite school does not work out, then decent state schools or Canadian and European schools would be the next schools I'd consider paying for. Almost all of my cousins in my mother's family went to little known private Catholic universities, and I can't help but think how big a waste of money that is.
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Boston ITer
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 14, 2009 4:16 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
For example, the accreditation bodies are cracking down hard on any online startups partnering with accredited universities.


Their big problem is that they can't erase the one yr masters program out there, and that's actually a mainstream alternative. I already know of British-Americans (dual nationals) doing let's say a British school, on the cheap like London online, for 3 yrs, followed by a one year masters in the USA, which lowers the cost of education tremendously, usually by two-thirds.

(http://www.uri.edu/es/acadinfo/acadyear/tuition.html)
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Boston ITer
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 14, 2009 4:28 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I'd only pay top dollar for a private university if it were an elite school that will put a person toward the top of the resume pile.


For my cousins, it would be a one yr masters from an elite school, like Columbia online, perhaps Univ of Chicago on-site since they tend to work out there; that 4 yr undergrad is a waste of money.

Quote:
I'm speaking from my own experience as I have a degree from a random state school and my husband has a degree from MIT.


Well yes, because Kendall Sq (& nearby companies) are MIT extensions but really, outside of getting into finance or management consulting, even MIT's name declines without the right experiences. And in eastern MA, a random state program gets the shaft mainly due to the entire insecure private college consortium (Brandeis, Tufts, BU) which specifically tries not to promote outsiders (see SUNY-Binghamton) for recruiting. It's really sad when it happens because then these candidates get awesome jobs, all over the rest of the northeast corridor and then, we lose them to some operation down in Long Island. I've seen this and it really infuriates me.[/quote]
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 1:25 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Their big problem is that they can't erase the one yr masters program out there, and that's actually a mainstream alternative. I already know of British-Americans (dual nationals) doing let's say a British school, on the cheap like London online, for 3 yrs, followed by a one year masters in the USA, which lowers the cost of education tremendously, usually by two-thirds.



Yes, online/for profit alternatives are growing but they will be a niche for the forseeable future. Progress won't be made until the traditional universities innovate. I see a decade ahead of business as usual.
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balor123



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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 2:48 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Having gone to a top university, I don't think it was worth it, at least for engineering. UT Austin would have taught me just as well for far less money (actually, at the time it was ranked higher). All engineers make roughly the same amount of money. Going to Cornell opened doors but I didn't go through them and very few people do.
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GenXer



Joined: 20 Feb 2009
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 11:06 am GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Top doesn't buy it anymore. Tech and defense companies are very happy to grab UMass. Amherst grads, and while they don't mind an MIT grad, the breadth of demand is so staggering that there is plenty of room for everybody. For an ambitious person it doesn't really matter where their degree is from. It is true that if you went to an MIT and got an MBA you may have certain opportunities, but that is not true when you are just starting out. The old boy's network does work, but this never stopped somebody with enough ambition - on the contrary, it is the dropouts that eat all the cake because they are just TOO HUNGRY.

As far as the price of top schools - it is safe for me to say that this will put most people on SS rolls and unable to fund their own retirement. What a huge waste - $200k x number of kids. For our kids it will be public U for 2 years and then a scholarship/loans to a school towards a real degree (not 'psychology'). It will also be working after high school to earn the first couple of years at the public U. I think most kids are too sheltered and can't really take care of themselves unless somebody gives them a job. Kids have to learn to be able to do anything - and while getting a concentration does not hurt, from experience, being able to adapt to different job requirements is more important.
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admin
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 12:54 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Might this trade off between a top tier school and tolerable debt levels be a false dichotomy for many people? Financial aid should be considered before ruling out any school on price, and the top tier schools are the ones with the deepest pockets who are in the position to offer the best financial aid. I am thinking specifically of MIT where tuition was $0 (yes, free) in 2008-2009 for families earning less than $75K and where home equity was not considered when determining financial aid for families earning less than $100K. I am not sure how the financial aid compares at similar schools, so perhaps MIT is anomalous, but the point is that this trade off between price and school branding doesn't always exist.

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john p



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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 1:55 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

You also have to consider the nature of the school too as it makes a big difference.

You can't fake engineering very easily so either you get it or you don't and a place like MIT absolutely needs the top talent so tuition isn't such a barrier to entry.

Harvard is another story. To get into Harvard, many international students need strong contacts because Harvard wants to make sure that they can get their graduates at top levels all across the globe. As we see, many of the top elite bankers and financial CEO's from the Ivy's weren't as strong as advertised. Given that society gives so much credibility to the Ivy's and many of their followers haven't performed exceptionaly well i.e. Bush (Both Harvard and Yale grad) you have to wonder if the Ivy League Bubble has burst as well?

MIT invested in fundamentals so I think their reputation is on more solid footing.
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JCK



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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 2:13 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree that top school vs. debt level is a false dichotomy.

What about places like Suffolk University, that charge as much as Harvard, but don't have the reputation? Or even BU, for that matter?

The real fallout isn't going to occur with the Harvards or Columbias of the world. Even if some think the shine is off an Ivy League degree, what does that mean for the lower tier schools that charge just as much?

I think you can argue that going to Harvard is worth something over a UMass-Amherst degree. What's the compelling case for going to BU or Suffolk over UMass?
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john p



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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 2:47 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think you're right, this tier will feel it for sure, most likely before the likes of the Ivies.

Let's break it down though, when does this whole echo-boom subside? The stock market bubble fattened many parents savings and the ensuing real estate bubble provided equity to draw from. I wonder where the dinero is going to come from now?
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Boston ITer
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 3:03 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
The real fallout isn't going to occur with the Harvards or Columbias of the world. Even if some think the shine is off an Ivy League degree, what does that mean for the lower tier schools that charge just as much?


This is a great point and highlights a major aspect of my argument. The brand schools have a permanent affinity for the well off (& middle classers looking for a brand name) so in many ways, they're not affected by the ups & downs of the middle class, much like towns named Lincoln MA and Bel Air CA which are immune to housing busts since most of the buyers/sellers are from the upper classes.

To both balor123 & GenXer:

The whole idea of MIT vs regular state { UConn, SUNY, UMass } or elite state sci-engineering { UC-Berkeley, GATech, UT-Austin, Univ of Illinois/"MIT of the corn fields" } isn't in technology. Hi-tech was a reasonable flat field where one's individual research projects and problem solving abilities could get someone somewhere. Clearly, I'd seen MITers get trumped by State U grads (and no, not just Univ of Illinois depts) in this area via talent/hard work alone. Today, the shine is coming off tech and the average middle classer will more likely opt for health care, law, or some other non-offshorable field.

The idea is that management consulting and Wall St do not believe in authentic merit. They tend to recruit from Ivy (& brand name ... see MIT, Chicago, Duke) science programs for their quant and analytic positions simply because they recruit from those same exact schools for the other pre-MBA analysts, salespersons, or traders. This is a ringknockers phenomena.

Ok, so now, it's the year 2025 and much of science R&D is between Seoul, Xian, Singapore, and Dubai so MIT's USA facade campus is Cambridge and its key R&D headquarters is in Guangzhou, think of the 20th century Natl Labs (like Brookhaven, Livermore, etc), but mainly abroad now. As this is occurring, how much will the middle class will want to pay for a $200K university degree, knowing fully well that only the ringknocker effect (i.e. internship at Goldman Sachs-Shanghai Asia-Pac HQ) is worth the price, hence, tons of apps to the same schools (Dartmouth, Columbia, etc) but little, anywhere else besides perhaps UConn's pre-heath care div and some overseas online program like Univ of London, which again, is another trick for trying to get into ringknocker club... London School of Economics onsite Masters/MBA?
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