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Boston Bubble Report: MA Housing vs. Income 1984 - 2005
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JCK



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 559

PostPosted: Fri Mar 23, 2007 3:00 pm GMT    Post subject: Reply with quote

admin wrote:
Quote:
The Boston MSA data from housingtracker shows a 4.0-5.3 price/income ratio, whereas your data is showing 7.1(!). Is it possible that this results from a divergence between statewide trends vs. the Boston area?


A different area of coverage certainly sounds like a good hypothesis to me. I think they actually include part of New Hampshire in their data too. Check out the "Assumptions/Caveats" note at the bottom:

Quote:
The median single family home price for Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH was used because the Boston-Quincy, MA price was not available. The median rent for Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH was used because the Boston-Quincy, MA rent was not available. The rest of the data is for the Census defined metropolitan area specified. The mortgage rates reported are national averages.


I'm sure there are other differences as well.

I think consistency is probably more important than the exact area of coverage or the absolute value of the ratios. So the HousingTracker.net data points could be compared with each other and the data points in this thread could be compared with each other, but to mix them would be quite complicated.

- admin


Good catch. I agree that (housing prices of Boston + NH)/(income of Boston MSA) would yield a results that's too low. Perhaps therein lies the difference, and bigger price decline should be expect, as compared to what I posted earlier.
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